Africa - Wheat Gluten - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights
Africa's Wheat Gluten Market to Witness Steady Growth with +1.1% CAGR Over Next Decade
IndexBox has just published a new report: Africa - Wheat Gluten - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights. The article discusses the increasing demand for wheat gluten in Africa, leading to a projected upward consumption trend. Market performance is predicted to expand with a +1.1% CAGR for volume and +2.2% CAGR for value from 2024 to 2035. By the end of 2035, market volume is expected to reach 12K tons with a value of $26M.
Market Forecast Driven by increasing demand for wheat gluten in Africa, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next decade. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +1.1% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market volume to 12K tons by the end of 2035. In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +2.2% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market value to $26M (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2035.
Consumption Africa's Consumption of Wheat Gluten In 2024, consumption of wheat gluten decreased by -37.9% to 10K tons, falling for the third consecutive year after two years of growth. Overall, consumption, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, consumption reached the peak volume of 42K tons. From 2022 to 2024, the growth of the consumption remained at a somewhat lower figure. The value of the wheat gluten market in Africa declined markedly to $21M in 2024, reducing by -36.2% against the previous year.
This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Over the period under review, consumption, however, continues to indicate pronounced growth. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $69M. From 2022 to 2024, the growth of the market failed to regain momentum.
Consumption By Country The country with the largest volume of wheat gluten consumption was Egypt (3.7K tons), comprising approx. 36% of total volume. Moreover, wheat gluten consumption in Egypt exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, South Africa (1.6K tons), twofold. Nigeria (855 tons) ranked third in terms of total consumption with an 8.4% share. In Egypt, wheat gluten consumption expanded at an average annual rate of +15.3% over the period from 2013-2024.
The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of consumption growth: South Africa (-7.8% per year) and Nigeria (+7.4% per year). In value terms, Egypt ($5.8M), South Africa ($3.9M) and Nigeria ($2.7M) constituted the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2024, with a combined 59% share of the total market. Cameroon, Cote d'Ivoire, Zimbabwe, Morocco, Mauritius, Tunisia and Mali lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 28%. Among the main consuming countries, Tunisia, with a CAGR of +30.0%, recorded the highest growth rate of market size over the period under review, while market for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In 2024, the highest levels of wheat gluten per capita consumption was registered in Mauritius (191 kg per 1000 persons), followed by Egypt (34 kg per 1000 persons), Zimbabwe (33 kg per 1000 persons) and Cameroon (28 kg per 1000 persons), while the world average per capita consumption of wheat gluten was estimated at 6.9 kg per 1000 persons. In Mauritius, wheat gluten per capita consumption declined by an average annual rate of -1.9% over the period from 2013-2024. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of per capita consumption growth: Egypt (+13.1% per year) and Zimbabwe (+10.5% per year).
Imports By Country In 2024, Egypt (3.7K tons), distantly followed by South Africa (2.3K tons), Cameroon (0.9K tons), Nigeria (0.9K tons) and Zimbabwe (0.5K tons) were the major importers of wheat gluten, together mixing up 75% of total imports. Cote d'Ivoire (427 tons), Senegal (277 tons), Mauritius (243 tons), Morocco (241 tons) and Tunisia (224 tons) followed a long way behind the leaders. From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for Tunisia (with a CAGR of +27.6%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, the largest wheat gluten importing markets in Africa were Egypt ($6.1M), South Africa ($5.8M) and Nigeria ($5.2M), with a combined 66% share of total imports. Cameroon, Cote d'Ivoire, Zimbabwe, Morocco, Senegal, Tunisia and Mauritius lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 23%. Among the main importing countries, Tunisia, with a CAGR of +29.6%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Import Prices By Country The import price in Africa stood at $2,383 per ton in 2024, increasing by 5.5% against the previous year. Import price indicated a perceptible increase from 2013 to 2024: its price increased at an average annual rate of +4.7% over the last eleven years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, wheat gluten import price increased by +52.4% against 2019 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2023 an increase of 23%.
The level of import peaked in 2024 and is expected to retain growth in the near future. Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Nigeria ($6,139 per ton), while Zimbabwe ($1,544 per ton) was amongst the lowest. From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Nigeria (+15.0%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Exports Africa's Exports of Wheat Gluten In 2024, exports of wheat gluten in Africa contracted markedly to 865 tons, falling by -20.9% compared with the previous year. In general, exports, however, continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 448%. The volume of export peaked at 2.8K tons in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2024, the exports remained at a lower figure. In value terms, wheat gluten exports declined dramatically to $1.5M in 2024. Overall, exports, however, saw a prominent expansion.
The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 256% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports reached the maximum at $2.6M in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2024, the exports failed to regain momentum. Exports By Country In 2024, South Africa (676 tons) represented the key exporter of wheat gluten, committing 78% of total exports. It was distantly followed by Senegal (116 tons), committing a 13% share of total exports. The following exporters - Uganda (34 tons) and Cameroon (32 tons) - each resulted at a 7.6% share of total exports. Exports from South Africa increased at an average annual rate of +5.8% from 2013 to 2024. At the same time, Cameroon (+25.5%), Senegal (+10.7%) and Uganda (+9.2%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Cameroon emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in Africa, with a CAGR of +25.5% from 2013-2024. From 2013 to 2024, the share of South Africa, Senegal, Cameroon and Uganda increased by +32, +8.6, +3.3 and +2.3 percentage points, while the shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.
In value terms, South Africa ($1.1M) remains the largest wheat gluten supplier in Africa, comprising 74% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Senegal ($291K), with a 20% share of total exports. It was followed by Cameroon, with a 3.3% share. In South Africa, wheat gluten exports expanded at an average annual rate of +11.1% over the period from 2013-2024. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Senegal (+13.9% per year) and Cameroon (+19.2% per year).
