Africa - Roasted Coffee (Not Decaffeinated)

Africa's Roasted Coffee Market to Witness Steady Growth, Reaching 1.9M Tons in Volume and $13.8B in Value by 2035

IndexBox has just published a new report: Africa - Roasted Coffee (Not Decaffeinated) - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights. The demand for roasted coffee in Africa is on the rise, leading to a forecasted growth in market volume to 1.9M tons and market value to $13.8B by the end of 2035. Despite a deceleration in market performance, the industry is expected to expand with a CAGR of +1.4% for volume and +2.6% for value from 2024 to 2035.

Market Forecast Driven by increasing demand for roasted coffee (not decaffeinated) in Africa, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next decade. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +1.4% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market volume to 1.9M tons by the end of 2035.

Consumption

Africa's Consumption of Roasted Coffee (Not Decaffeinated) For the twelfth year in a row, Africa recorded growth in consumption of roasted coffee (not decaffeinated), which increased by 2.1% to 1.7M tons in 2024. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.0% over the period from 2013 to 2024; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 when the consumption volume increased by 5%. Over the period under review, consumption hit record highs in 2024 and is likely to see steady growth in years to come. The size of the non-decaffeinated roasted coffee market in Africa expanded sharply to $10.4B in 2024, with an increase of 13% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +4.5% over the period from 2013 to 2024; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. As a result, consumption attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2024 were Ethiopia (414K tons), Tanzania (232K tons) and Uganda (146K tons), together comprising 48% of total consumption. From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for Tanzania (with a CAGR of +4.5%), while consumption for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth. In value terms, Ethiopia ($3.4B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by Tanzania ($1.2B). It was followed by South Africa. In Ethiopia, the non-decaffeinated roasted coffee market expanded at an average annual rate of +4.1% over the period from 2013-2024. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of market growth: Tanzania (+6.0% per year) and South Africa (+4.4% per year). The countries with the highest levels of non-decaffeinated roasted coffee per capita consumption in 2024 were Tanzania (3.5 kg per person), Ethiopia (3.3 kg per person) and Uganda (2.9 kg per person). From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the key consuming countries, was attained by Tanzania (with a CAGR of +1.5%), while consumption for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production Africa's

Production of Roasted Coffee (Not Decaffeinated) In 2024, production of roasted coffee (not decaffeinated) in Africa rose modestly to 1.7M tons, picking up by 2% against the previous year. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.0% from 2013 to 2024; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 with an increase of 5.1%. Over the period under review, production hit record highs in 2024 and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term. In value terms, non-decaffeinated roasted coffee production soared to $10.8B in 2024 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +4.9% over the period from 2013 to 2024; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. As a result, production reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports Africa's

Imports of Roasted Coffee (Not Decaffeinated) In 2024, overseas purchases of roasted coffee (not decaffeinated) were finally on the rise to reach 14K tons for the first time since 2021, thus ending a two-year declining trend. Total imports indicated prominent growth from 2013 to 2024: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +6.7% over the last eleven years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, imports decreased by -4.9% against 2021 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 when imports increased by 41%. Over the period under review, imports attained the peak figure at 15K tons in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2024, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Imports

By Country In 2024, Libya (2.9K tons), Morocco (2.6K tons) and Egypt (2.5K tons) was the key importer of roasted coffee (not decaffeinated) in Africa, making up 56% of total import. It was distantly followed by South Africa (1.4K tons), creating a 10% share of total imports. Algeria (571 tons), Botswana (464 tons), Tunisia (449 tons), Burkina Faso (442 tons), Senegal (379 tons) and Mauritius (327 tons) held a relatively small share of total imports.